Manly United vs Wollongong Wolves analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
3.9%
1-0
5.6%
2-1
4.4%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.4%
22.1%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
22%
61.4%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
0-1
12.4%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
11.6%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
-2
19%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
2.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
10.5%
0-4
3.4%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
4.6%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.6%
0-6
0.4%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.5%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2007 |
BCL
2 - 2
MAN
59%
21%
20%
|
29 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
API
14%
23%
63%
|
29 | 55 | 26 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
BLA
3 - 0
MAN
85%
11%
5%
|
31 | 51 | 20 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 0
PNU
19%
24%
58%
|
35 | 52 | 17 | -4 |
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | -1 |
Matches
Wollongong Wolves
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
3 - 0
SUT
81%
13%
6%
|
48 | 28 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 0
BCL
78%
15%
8%
|
48 | 33 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2007 |
API
2 - 2
WOL
56%
24%
20%
|
49 | 58 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 3
BLA
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | -5 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |