Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.9%
Win probability
2.53
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.6%
5-0
2.7%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
8.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.8%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
7.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.3%
11.9%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-24%
-30%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SYD
1 - 2
MAN
23%
20%
57%
|
43 | 31 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 3
ROC
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
69%
18%
14%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | -1 |
| 04 Apr. 2018 |
MAN
3 - 2
MDT
68%
17%
15%
|
43 | 30 | 13 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
MAR
2 - 4
MAN
10%
16%
74%
|
42 | 23 | 19 | +1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 3
API
17%
20%
63%
|
33 | 46 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
BON
0 - 3
SUT
52%
22%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | +3 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 1
NSM
59%
19%
22%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SUT
0 - 3
SYD
34%
23%
44%
|
33 | 41 | 8 | -2 |
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
SUT
3 - 0
WOL
26%
21%
53%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | +5 |