Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.6%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
31.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
BLA
1 - 4
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
30 | 44 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 2
SYD
29%
25%
46%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAN
40%
24%
36%
|
31 | 27 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2015 |
MAN
2 - 1
BLA
32%
24%
44%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
MAN
0 - 0
ROC
36%
26%
38%
|
30 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
SUT
6 - 2
ROC
48%
24%
29%
|
30 | 34 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
API
2 - 1
SUT
42%
24%
34%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SUT
1 - 2
BON
28%
24%
48%
|
34 | 46 | 12 | -3 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
SUT
2 - 2
SOU
64%
19%
17%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
SYD
3 - 0
SUT
52%
23%
25%
|
36 | 37 | 1 | -1 |