Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
32.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
4.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
9.3%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
7.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.2%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
42.9%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
9%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.9%
0-3
3.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
BLA
4 - 1
MAN
60%
20%
20%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
MAN
3 - 1
BLA
19%
22%
59%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 06 Apr. 2014 |
SYD
2 - 3
MAN
72%
18%
10%
|
27 | 38 | 11 | +1 |
| 30 Mar. 2014 |
MAN
1 - 1
API
60%
21%
19%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
MAN
68%
19%
13%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
3 - 4
BLA
45%
23%
32%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2014 |
API
2 - 2
SUT
20%
23%
57%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
SUT
3 - 2
MAR
63%
21%
17%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
STG
0 - 3
SUT
78%
16%
6%
|
35 | 70 | 35 | +2 |
| 22 Mar. 2014 |
SUT
2 - 1
SOU
76%
14%
10%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | 0 |