Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
25%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.4%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.1%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.3%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
6.7%
1-0
7%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.5%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
50.6%
Win probability
1.65
Expected goals
0-1
10.7%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.6%
0-2
8.8%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
15.5%
0-3
4.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
7.5%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
API
1 - 1
MAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2013 |
SYD
5 - 1
MAN
65%
20%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
MAN
4 - 2
SOU
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +2 |
| 14 Apr. 2013 |
ROC
4 - 2
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | -2 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
SUT
3 - 1
BLA
67%
18%
15%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SUT
44%
25%
32%
|
40 | 36 | 4 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
SUT
1 - 1
SYD
52%
23%
26%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2013 |
BLA
3 - 4
SUT
57%
22%
22%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
BON
3 - 2
SUT
69%
18%
13%
|
39 | 49 | 10 | 0 |