Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.6%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
40.1%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
SOU
29%
24%
47%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 1
BLA
32%
26%
43%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Jun. 2012 |
PAE
1 - 3
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
BLA
2 - 1
MAN
35%
24%
41%
|
38 | 31 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 May. 2012 |
SYD
0 - 1
MAN
62%
22%
16%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Jun. 2012 |
SUT
1 - 1
BON
38%
25%
37%
|
41 | 47 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Jun. 2012 |
SUT
4 - 0
SOU
29%
24%
48%
|
37 | 47 | 10 | +4 |
| 03 Jun. 2012 |
BLA
1 - 0
SUT
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | -1 |
| 26 May. 2012 |
SUT
0 - 4
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 May. 2012 |
PAE
2 - 1
SUT
57%
23%
20%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |