Manly United vs Sutherland Sharks analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.24
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.6%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.5%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.1%
40.3%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
0-1
10%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.5%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.9%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Mar. 2011 |
SYD
2 - 2
MAN
65%
21%
15%
|
37 | 45 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SYD
1 - 0
MAN
63%
21%
16%
|
39 | 46 | 7 | -2 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
SUT
33%
26%
41%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | +2 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 2
MAN
64%
20%
17%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jul. 2010 |
MAN
1 - 0
BAB
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 29 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Sutherland Sharks
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Mar. 2011 |
SUT
2 - 1
BLA
52%
23%
26%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2010 |
SUT
3 - 1
ROC
54%
23%
23%
|
42 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
SUT
33%
26%
41%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | -2 |
| 17 Jul. 2010 |
SUT
1 - 3
BLA
58%
22%
20%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 Jul. 2010 |
BCL
3 - 3
SUT
43%
25%
32%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |