Manly United vs Penrith Nepean United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
18.5%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.8%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.4%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.8%
3-2
1.2%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.6%
57.9%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.2%
1-3
5.6%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.9%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 1
MAR
20%
25%
55%
|
36 | 61 | 25 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2007 |
SYD
2 - 1
MAN
70%
19%
11%
|
37 | 61 | 24 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
MAN
3 - 0
SYD
17%
23%
60%
|
35 | 67 | 32 | +2 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
SUT
0 - 1
MAN
48%
24%
28%
|
37 | 37 | 0 | -2 |
| 04 Mar. 2007 |
WOL
1 - 4
MAN
75%
17%
9%
|
36 | 62 | 26 | +1 |
Matches
Penrith Nepean United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
1 - 2
WOL
46%
25%
29%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2007 |
BCL
6 - 2
PNU
20%
24%
55%
|
56 | 39 | 17 | -2 |
| 17 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
0 - 2
API
34%
28%
39%
|
57 | 66 | 9 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2007 |
BLA
3 - 1
PNU
50%
24%
26%
|
62 | 59 | 3 | -5 |
| 03 Mar. 2007 |
PNU
0 - 1
SUT
75%
17%
9%
|
63 | 37 | 26 | -1 |