Manly United vs Parramatta Eagles analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
54.7%
Win probability
1.97
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.5%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.1%
3-0
5.2%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.2%
2-0
7.9%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
16.6%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
21.8%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.8%
23.5%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
6.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
6.4%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
SOU
2 - 0
MAN
54%
22%
25%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 01 Aug. 2015 |
MAN
5 - 0
SYD
49%
24%
27%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2015 |
SUT
0 - 1
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Jul. 2015 |
MAN
1 - 2
BLA
15%
20%
65%
|
32 | 47 | 15 | -1 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SYD
1 - 5
MAN
69%
18%
14%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Parramatta Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 1
ROC
34%
24%
42%
|
32 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Aug. 2015 |
PAE
0 - 0
BLA
44%
23%
33%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 02 Aug. 2015 |
API
1 - 0
PAE
65%
18%
16%
|
33 | 37 | 4 | -1 |
| 26 Jul. 2015 |
PAE
5 - 3
BON
15%
19%
66%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +5 |
| 12 Jul. 2015 |
SOU
4 - 2
PAE
66%
18%
16%
|
28 | 31 | 3 | 0 |