Manly United vs Mounties Wanderers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.1%
Win probability
2.64
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.2%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.7%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
9.2%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.8%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.1%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
14.9%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.9%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.9%
9.9%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.9%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 May. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
SYD
36%
25%
40%
|
34 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAN
3 - 2
API
37%
24%
39%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 May. 2016 |
MAN
4 - 1
KDA
77%
15%
9%
|
34 | 13 | 21 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
BLA
1 - 1
MAN
40%
21%
39%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 1
ROC
37%
26%
37%
|
34 | 39 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Mounties Wanderers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2016 |
MFC
3 - 5
MWF
21%
21%
58%
|
15 | 9 | 6 | 0 |