Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
36.9%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
2.7%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.1%
2-0
6.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
10.7%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.5%
26.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.5%
36.6%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20.4%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
SYD
0 - 0
MAN
65%
21%
15%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2013 |
MAN
0 - 3
BLA
24%
24%
53%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 2
SUT
25%
24%
51%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 2
MAN
16%
20%
64%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
API
1 - 1
MAN
50%
24%
27%
|
32 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jun. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 0
BLA
58%
21%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 May. 2013 |
MAR
0 - 2
BON
30%
26%
44%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 May. 2013 |
MAR
3 - 0
SYD
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 37 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 May. 2013 |
BLA
3 - 0
MAR
70%
18%
12%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 2
SUT
44%
25%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |