Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.9%
Win probability
1.46
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.5%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
4.2%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.5%
1-0
8.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.4%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
36.2%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
19.5%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.8%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Jun. 2011 |
SUT
3 - 1
MAN
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 44 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
0 - 3
BLA
37%
25%
38%
|
39 | 43 | 4 | -2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 1
BCL
50%
24%
26%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | +1 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAN
2 - 2
SOU
20%
24%
57%
|
38 | 53 | 15 | 0 |
| 18 May. 2011 |
PAE
5 - 1
MAN
74%
17%
9%
|
38 | 59 | 21 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Jun. 2011 |
SYD
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
40 | 46 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
1 - 0
BCL
57%
23%
21%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
MAR
3 - 0
API
37%
26%
37%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | +2 |
| 29 May. 2011 |
PAE
1 - 4
MAR
77%
16%
8%
|
35 | 59 | 24 | +3 |
| 22 May. 2011 |
MAR
0 - 0
SYD
33%
25%
43%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | 0 |