Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
42.7%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.5%
2-0
7.2%
3-1
4.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
12.7%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.8%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
31.9%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.5%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9%
0-3
2.1%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
BON
1 - 1
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
41 | 38 | 3 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
MAN
0 - 1
SOU
17%
24%
59%
|
41 | 63 | 22 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
BAB
3 - 2
MAN
46%
24%
30%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | -1 |
| 28 Mar. 2010 |
MAN
2 - 1
SYD
56%
22%
22%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Mar. 2010 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 0
BLA
56%
23%
22%
|
41 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2010 |
BCL
1 - 3
MAR
47%
23%
30%
|
40 | 38 | 2 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 2010 |
MAR
0 - 3
SYD
49%
25%
26%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | -2 |
| 27 Mar. 2010 |
SUT
0 - 1
MAR
54%
23%
24%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 2010 |
MAR
2 - 1
API
74%
17%
9%
|
42 | 31 | 11 | 0 |