Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.6%
Win probability
1.72
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.6%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.8%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
24.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.2%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Jul. 2009 |
BON
1 - 4
MAN
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
WOL
0 - 2
MAN
32%
24%
44%
|
44 | 30 | 14 | +1 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
PNU
2 - 0
MAN
27%
24%
50%
|
46 | 28 | 18 | -2 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 2
SYD
54%
23%
23%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
API
58%
23%
20%
|
47 | 40 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 3
BAB
62%
21%
18%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
MAR
2 - 0
WOL
77%
15%
8%
|
42 | 30 | 12 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2009 |
PNU
0 - 3
MAR
32%
25%
43%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
SUT
1 - 1
MAR
58%
22%
21%
|
41 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 2
SYD
50%
25%
25%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -1 |