Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
30.3%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.9%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
8.4%
1-0
8.2%
2-1
7.2%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
17.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
22.4%
0-2
7.6%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
13.2%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.8%
0-4
1.4%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
SUT
2 - 1
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 0
BLA
22%
23%
55%
|
36 | 48 | 12 | +3 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
BCL
0 - 3
MAN
56%
22%
22%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
BLA
4 - 2
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 52 | 14 | -2 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
38 | 54 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 3
SYD
53%
24%
24%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2008 |
SYD
3 - 0
MAR
43%
27%
30%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAC
81%
13%
6%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | -1 |
| 21 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
54 | 38 | 16 | -2 |
| 14 Jul. 2007 |
MAN
2 - 0
MAR
18%
23%
59%
|
54 | 36 | 18 | 0 |