Manly United vs Marconi Stallions analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
17.7%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.6%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
5-4
<0%
+1
12.2%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
7.4%
1-1
11%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.2%
59.1%
Win probability
1.76
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.4%
0-2
11.5%
1-3
5.7%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18.3%
0-3
6.7%
1-4
2.5%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
9.6%
0-4
3%
1-5
0.9%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.9%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
API
0 - 1
MAN
76%
17%
8%
|
34 | 56 | 22 | 0 |
| 26 Jun. 2007 |
PNU
0 - 3
MAN
74%
17%
9%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | +2 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
MAN
0 - 2
BLA
15%
21%
65%
|
33 | 52 | 19 | -1 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
31 | 53 | 22 | +2 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
MAN
1 - 2
SYD
20%
25%
55%
|
32 | 51 | 19 | -1 |
Matches
Marconi Stallions
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 0
SUT
84%
12%
5%
|
54 | 28 | 26 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
3 - 1
SYD
58%
24%
18%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Jun. 2007 |
SYD
0 - 2
MAR
49%
26%
25%
|
52 | 53 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Jun. 2007 |
MAR
1 - 2
MAN
82%
13%
6%
|
53 | 31 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 May. 2007 |
WOL
2 - 2
MAR
33%
27%
40%
|
53 | 46 | 7 | 0 |