Manly United vs Mariners Academy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.2%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.9%
4-0
5.7%
5-1
2.3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.4%
4-1
4.6%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.4%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
10.5%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
2 - 2
API
61%
21%
18%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAN
3 - 1
SYD
20%
23%
57%
|
28 | 40 | 12 | +3 |
| 13 Jul. 2013 |
SOU
1 - 2
MAN
70%
17%
13%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | +1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
MAN
1 - 3
ROC
30%
25%
46%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | -1 |
| 22 Jun. 2013 |
BON
2 - 2
MAN
79%
14%
7%
|
27 | 47 | 20 | +1 |
Matches
Mariners Academy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Jul. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 1
BLA
17%
22%
61%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 21 Jul. 2013 |
MAR
4 - 1
CEN
80%
13%
6%
|
17 | 35 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Jul. 2013 |
SYD
3 - 0
CEN
80%
14%
7%
|
17 | 37 | 20 | 0 |
| 06 Jul. 2013 |
CEN
2 - 4
SYD
16%
20%
64%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | -1 |
| 30 Jun. 2013 |
BLA
3 - 5
CEN
88%
9%
4%
|
17 | 42 | 25 | +1 |