Manly United vs APIA Leichhardt Tigers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51%
Win probability
1.69
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
3%
3-0
4.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.1%
24.9%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-21%
-5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manly United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jul. 2011 |
BON
0 - 0
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
38 | 47 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2011 |
MAN
1 - 3
SYD
27%
26%
46%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | -1 |
| 17 Jul. 2011 |
ROC
1 - 1
MAN
45%
24%
31%
|
39 | 40 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
SYD
1 - 2
MAN
62%
21%
17%
|
38 | 45 | 7 | +1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
MAN
3 - 1
MAR
39%
25%
36%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | +2 |
Matches
APIA Leichhardt Tigers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jul. 2011 |
PAE
2 - 0
API
78%
15%
7%
|
36 | 57 | 21 | 0 |
| 16 Jul. 2011 |
SUT
2 - 0
API
63%
20%
17%
|
37 | 43 | 6 | -1 |
| 09 Jul. 2011 |
API
0 - 3
ROC
59%
21%
20%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Jul. 2011 |
API
2 - 3
BLA
43%
25%
32%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Jun. 2011 |
SOU
2 - 1
API
72%
17%
11%
|
40 | 51 | 11 | -1 |