Manlleu vs Castelldefels analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
70.1%
Win probability
2.15
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.3%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.2%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.4%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.3%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.2%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.3%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.4%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manlleu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
STB
1 - 1
MAN
39%
26%
35%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
VIL
69%
19%
12%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
FIG
1 - 1
MAN
58%
23%
19%
|
38 | 46 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 2
COR
53%
24%
23%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
| 25 Aug. 2012 |
GAV
0 - 1
MAN
30%
25%
45%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Castelldefels
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 1
STB
25%
25%
51%
|
28 | 37 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2012 |
VIL
0 - 0
CAS
47%
25%
28%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
0 - 1
FIG
18%
24%
58%
|
29 | 45 | 16 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2012 |
COR
6 - 1
CAS
67%
20%
13%
|
30 | 39 | 9 | -1 |
| 02 Sep. 2012 |
CAS
1 - 0
GAV
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 31 | 2 | +1 |