Tercera - Postupové Play Off Quarter-finals
Global 4-3
Manlleu vs Las Palmas At. analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
50.5%
Win probability
1.67
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
2%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.9%
3-0
4.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.5%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.4%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.3%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.3%
25.2%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.6%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manlleu
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VIC
0 - 3
MAN
29%
24%
47%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
MAN
2 - 0
RUB
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2012 |
CFA
2 - 2
MAN
24%
23%
53%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
3 - 0
VIL
66%
20%
14%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2012 |
MAN
0 - 0
OLO
66%
19%
15%
|
37 | 30 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Las Palmas At.
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2012 |
VER
2 - 1
LPA
39%
26%
35%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2012 |
LPA
1 - 0
CAG
65%
20%
15%
|
38 | 33 | 5 | +1 |
| 28 Apr. 2012 |
UDT
1 - 3
LPA
19%
24%
57%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2012 |
VSB
1 - 1
LPA
26%
25%
49%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2012 |
LPA
3 - 0
COR
72%
18%
10%
|
38 | 29 | 9 | 0 |