Manises vs R. Paterna analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.5%
5-0
4.1%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
7.5%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
11%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.8%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.4%
13%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
13%
7%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
5.2%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manises
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
PAT
0 - 2
MAN
34%
23%
42%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2018 |
XIR
1 - 4
MAN
13%
19%
68%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |
| 24 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
4 - 0
TUR
70%
18%
13%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
ZAF
0 - 1
MAN
26%
21%
53%
|
22 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2018 |
MAN
2 - 2
CAS
77%
15%
8%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
R. Paterna
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Dec. 2018 |
RAC
0 - 2
CDC
31%
23%
46%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
6 - 0
RAC
39%
23%
38%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | -2 |
| 20 Nov. 2018 |
ZAF
2 - 1
RAC
48%
21%
32%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Nov. 2018 |
RAC
1 - 2
APO
34%
22%
44%
|
17 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Nov. 2018 |
JUV
4 - 1
RAC
30%
21%
50%
|
18 | 15 | 3 | -1 |