Manisa FK vs Buca FK analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.4%
Win probability
1.84
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4%
3-0
6.1%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.5%
2-0
10%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.6%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.2%
22.6%
Draw
0-0
5.9%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.6%
20%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13%
0-2
2.9%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.1%
0-3
1%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manisa FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
ERB
0 - 3
MAN
35%
26%
39%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 2
PAZ
68%
19%
13%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
BOD
2 - 2
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
45 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
MAN
1 - 0
DER
69%
19%
12%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
DUZ
1 - 1
MAN
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Buca FK
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 0
HEA
55%
23%
22%
|
42 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
TIR
1 - 1
YOM
58%
22%
20%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
ERB
1 - 0
TIR
39%
26%
36%
|
43 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 20 Nov. 2016 |
TIR
4 - 1
PAZ
68%
17%
15%
|
42 | 34 | 8 | +1 |
| 16 Nov. 2016 |
BOD
2 - 1
TIR
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |