Mangotsfield United vs Bashley analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.5%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.1%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
25.4%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.4%
25.1%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
7.7%
1-2
6.2%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
6.6%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Mangotsfield United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
CLE
40%
28%
32%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
MER
1 - 0
MAN
57%
24%
20%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | -1 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 0
EVE
28%
28%
45%
|
39 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
0 - 3
COR
36%
27%
38%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | -2 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
MAN
3 - 2
TIV
44%
26%
30%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Bashley
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Oct. 2008 |
HEM
0 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
40 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2008 |
BAS
0 - 3
COR
41%
25%
34%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | -2 |
| 20 Sep. 2008 |
CAM
5 - 0
BAS
44%
25%
31%
|
44 | 41 | 3 | -2 |
| 06 Sep. 2008 |
BAS
4 - 1
STO
41%
25%
35%
|
42 | 45 | 3 | +2 |
| 02 Sep. 2008 |
GLO
3 - 0
BAS
62%
21%
17%
|
43 | 49 | 6 | -1 |