Manchester United vs Stoke City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.2%
Win probability
2.61
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.9%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
4.6%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
5.7%
4-0
8.9%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
11.3%
3-0
13.7%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
18.4%
2-0
15.7%
3-1
6.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.1%
1-0
12%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
+1
21%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
1.7%
3-3
0.2%
4-4
<0%
0
12.2%
4.6%
Win probability
0.47
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
1.3%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
3.8%
0-2
0.5%
1-3
0.2%
2-4
0%
-2
0.7%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
WBA
1 - 2
MUD
15%
22%
63%
|
95 | 81 | 14 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
BIR
1 - 1
MUD
10%
21%
69%
|
95 | 82 | 13 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
MUD
2 - 0
SUN
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Dec. 2010 |
MUD
1 - 0
ARS
58%
21%
21%
|
95 | 93 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2010 |
MUD
1 - 1
VCF
77%
15%
8%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Stoke City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jan. 2011 |
STO
2 - 0
EVE
31%
28%
41%
|
83 | 88 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 2010 |
STO
0 - 2
FUL
46%
27%
27%
|
83 | 84 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2010 |
BBU
0 - 2
STO
55%
25%
21%
|
83 | 85 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 2010 |
STO
0 - 1
BPO
58%
23%
19%
|
83 | 75 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2010 |
WIG
2 - 2
STO
39%
28%
33%
|
83 | 79 | 4 | 0 |