Europa League . Semi-finals
Global 8-5
Manchester United vs Roma analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
LEE
0 - 0
MUD
14%
22%
65%
|
92 | 81 | 11 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
MUD
3 - 1
BUR
74%
17%
9%
|
92 | 82 | 10 | 0 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
MUD
2 - 0
GRA
71%
18%
12%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
TOT
1 - 3
MUD
37%
26%
38%
|
92 | 89 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2021 |
GRA
0 - 2
MUD
16%
24%
61%
|
92 | 85 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Roma
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2021 |
CAG
3 - 2
ROM
17%
21%
62%
|
87 | 74 | 13 | 0 |
| 22 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
ATL
37%
24%
40%
|
87 | 90 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2021 |
TOR
3 - 1
ROM
25%
23%
52%
|
88 | 81 | 7 | -1 |
| 15 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 1
AJA
44%
23%
34%
|
88 | 88 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2021 |
ROM
1 - 0
BOL
78%
14%
8%
|
88 | 76 | 12 | 0 |