Manchester City vs Sunderland analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.8%
Win probability
2.56
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
<0%
+6
2%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.9%
4-0
7.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
10%
3-0
11.4%
4-1
4.7%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.9%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22.3%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.7%
14.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
2.8%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.1%
7.2%
Win probability
0.64
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.2%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
5.4%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.4%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Aug. 2016 |
ARS
3 - 2
MAC
40%
26%
34%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2016 |
BVB
1 - 1
MAC
50%
23%
26%
|
91 | 91 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jul. 2016 |
BYM
1 - 0
MAC
65%
20%
15%
|
91 | 95 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
SWA
1 - 1
MAC
13%
22%
65%
|
91 | 81 | 10 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2016 |
MAC
2 - 2
ARS
51%
23%
26%
|
91 | 90 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Sunderland
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Aug. 2016 |
BVB
1 - 1
SUN
78%
15%
7%
|
80 | 91 | 11 | 0 |
| 30 Jul. 2016 |
SUN
1 - 1
MPL
46%
27%
27%
|
80 | 80 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jul. 2016 |
DIJ
2 - 3
SUN
28%
25%
48%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
| 25 Jul. 2016 |
STA
0 - 2
SUN
10%
18%
72%
|
80 | 51 | 29 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2016 |
ROT
1 - 2
SUN
21%
23%
55%
|
80 | 62 | 18 | 0 |