Manchester City vs Manchester United analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
81.3%
Win probability
2.87
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
2.1%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.9%
5-0
4.5%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.3%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
3.2%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
11.6%
3-0
10.9%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
+3
17.8%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.5%
1-0
8%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.5%
12.2%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
5.7%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
12.2%
6.5%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
2%
1-2
2%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
4.9%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.3%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
MAC
3 - 1
WHU
83%
12%
5%
|
100 | 91 | 9 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2024 |
TOT
0 - 2
MAC
12%
18%
70%
|
100 | 93 | 7 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
FUL
0 - 4
MAC
8%
15%
77%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
MAC
5 - 1
WOL
86%
10%
4%
|
100 | 88 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Apr. 2024 |
NTT
0 - 2
MAC
7%
14%
79%
|
100 | 84 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
Manchester United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 May. 2024 |
BHA
0 - 2
MUD
28%
24%
48%
|
94 | 91 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2024 |
MUD
3 - 2
NEW
48%
24%
28%
|
94 | 93 | 1 | 0 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
MUD
0 - 1
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
94 | 97 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 May. 2024 |
CRY
4 - 0
MUD
21%
23%
56%
|
94 | 88 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2024 |
MUD
1 - 1
BUR
72%
18%
10%
|
94 | 86 | 8 | 0 |