Manchester City vs Shakhtar Donetsk analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.5%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.5%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
8.9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
7.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.9%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.9%
11.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 0
CRY
82%
13%
6%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
WBA
1 - 2
MAC
15%
20%
65%
|
90 | 81 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Sep. 2017 |
WAT
0 - 6
MAC
11%
19%
71%
|
90 | 79 | 11 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
FEY
0 - 4
MAC
27%
23%
50%
|
90 | 85 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
MAC
5 - 0
LIV
53%
23%
25%
|
90 | 89 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Shakhtar Donetsk
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ZIR
2 - 4
SHA
19%
23%
59%
|
85 | 74 | 11 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
CHO
0 - 0
SHA
13%
21%
66%
|
85 | 73 | 12 | 0 |
| 13 Sep. 2017 |
SHA
2 - 1
NAP
25%
23%
53%
|
85 | 91 | 6 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
SHA
3 - 1
ZOR
62%
21%
17%
|
85 | 83 | 2 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2017 |
FCV
1 - 2
SHA
11%
20%
69%
|
85 | 68 | 17 | 0 |