Manchester City vs B. Dortmund analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
77.8%
Win probability
2.96
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.4%
7-0
0.8%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.1%
6-0
1.9%
7-1
0.8%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.8%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.8%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.6%
6-2
0.8%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
10.9%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
6.1%
5-2
1.7%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.7%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.5%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.3%
13.1%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
5.6%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.1%
9.1%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
2.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.2%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
SEV
0 - 4
MAC
15%
21%
64%
|
95 | 89 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 2022 |
ASV
1 - 1
MAC
10%
17%
74%
|
95 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
6 - 0
NTT
89%
8%
3%
|
95 | 78 | 17 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
MAC
4 - 2
CRY
83%
12%
5%
|
95 | 85 | 10 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2022 |
FCB
3 - 3
MAC
29%
24%
48%
|
95 | 92 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
B. Dortmund
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Sep. 2022 |
RBL
3 - 0
BVB
30%
23%
47%
|
89 | 87 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
3 - 0
FCK
65%
19%
16%
|
89 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Sep. 2022 |
BVB
1 - 0
HOF
62%
20%
19%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
HER
0 - 1
BVB
11%
17%
72%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2022 |
BVB
2 - 3
BRE
71%
17%
12%
|
89 | 77 | 12 | 0 |