Champions League . Quarter-finals
Global 4-1
Manchester City vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.7%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.8%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
4.6%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
5.2%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.2%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
2.1%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.9%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.3%
29%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
1.2%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.6%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
3.7%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+2%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SOU
1 - 4
MAC
8%
18%
75%
|
97 | 83 | 14 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
MAC
4 - 1
LIV
62%
19%
19%
|
97 | 94 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
6 - 0
BUR
89%
8%
3%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | +1 |
| 14 Mar. 2023 |
MAC
7 - 0
RBL
73%
15%
12%
|
96 | 91 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
CRY
0 - 1
MAC
9%
18%
73%
|
96 | 85 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
SCF
0 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
1 - 2
SCF
85%
11%
5%
|
96 | 86 | 10 | 0 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
BYM
4 - 2
BVB
70%
17%
13%
|
96 | 90 | 6 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
BYM
7%
13%
81%
|
97 | 87 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2023 |
BYM
5 - 3
AUG
89%
9%
3%
|
97 | 78 | 19 | 0 |