Manchego vs U.B. Conquense B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
2.05
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.9%
4-0
3.4%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.1%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.9%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.5%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.5%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.8%
18.4%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
4.7%
1-2
5%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.7%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
ALM
1 - 0
MAN
64%
22%
14%
|
20 | 28 | 8 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
CUE
46%
25%
29%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 3
HEL
30%
25%
45%
|
20 | 29 | 9 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
SIG
1 - 1
MAN
34%
25%
41%
|
20 | 16 | 4 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
MAN
2 - 1
MAN
62%
20%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
U.B. Conquense B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 May. 2004 |
CON
0 - 0
HEL
22%
24%
54%
|
18 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2004 |
SIG
3 - 0
CON
38%
25%
37%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | -1 |
| 25 Apr. 2004 |
CON
2 - 1
MAN
51%
24%
26%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | +1 |
| 18 Apr. 2004 |
LSO
2 - 0
CON
52%
23%
25%
|
19 | 19 | 0 | -1 |
| 11 Apr. 2004 |
CON
1 - 2
PUE
37%
27%
36%
|
20 | 25 | 5 | -1 |