Manchego vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
1.87
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.8%
4-0
3.8%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
8.2%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
11.4%
2-0
13.1%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
20.1%
1-0
14%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.8%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
21.5%
13.6%
Win probability
0.72
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
3.6%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
9.9%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 May. 2009 |
MAR
1 - 1
MAN
31%
27%
43%
|
33 | 23 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 1
ILL
63%
22%
15%
|
33 | 26 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2009 |
ALM
0 - 0
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 2
TAL
36%
26%
38%
|
31 | 35 | 4 | +2 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
CIU
1 - 1
MAN
30%
28%
42%
|
31 | 24 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 May. 2009 |
TOM
1 - 2
GAL
39%
29%
32%
|
26 | 27 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Apr. 2009 |
HEL
1 - 0
TOM
52%
25%
23%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | -1 |
| 18 Apr. 2009 |
TOM
3 - 1
TAR
61%
24%
15%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 12 Apr. 2009 |
AZU
0 - 0
TOM
54%
23%
23%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 2009 |
TOM
2 - 0
VIL
48%
29%
23%
|
26 | 24 | 2 | +1 |