Manchego vs Tomelloso analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.8%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.6%
1-0
13.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
+1
23.8%
28.6%
Draw
0-0
10.9%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.6%
28.3%
Win probability
0.96
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.2%
0-2
5%
1-3
2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TAR
1 - 1
MAN
20%
27%
53%
|
29 | 13 | 16 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
MAN
0 - 1
CUE
62%
23%
15%
|
30 | 21 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
CDT
2 - 1
MAN
55%
27%
19%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
MAN
1 - 0
MAR
58%
22%
19%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | 0 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
ROD
1 - 3
MAN
52%
27%
21%
|
29 | 27 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Tomelloso
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Aug. 2006 |
TOM
2 - 0
VIL
43%
28%
29%
|
29 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 May. 2006 |
UDT
2 - 0
TOM
34%
29%
37%
|
30 | 24 | 6 | -1 |
| 21 May. 2006 |
TOM
2 - 1
CIU
40%
29%
31%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | +1 |
| 14 May. 2006 |
ILL
3 - 0
TOM
19%
25%
56%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | -3 |
| 07 May. 2006 |
TOM
1 - 3
GUA
36%
28%
36%
|
33 | 35 | 2 | -1 |