Manchego vs Gimnástico de Alcázar analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39.7%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.8%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.1%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.7%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
34.6%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
8.6%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.4%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
DAI
0 - 1
MAN
40%
25%
35%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 2
PUE
36%
27%
37%
|
20 | 27 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
MAN
3 - 0
UDS
48%
23%
28%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
GUA
2 - 1
MAN
73%
18%
10%
|
20 | 30 | 10 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
MAN
0 - 0
CON
61%
21%
18%
|
20 | 18 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gimnástico de Alcázar
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Sep. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 1
ROD
35%
28%
37%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2004 |
GUA
1 - 2
GIM
66%
22%
13%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 30 May. 2004 |
GIM
4 - 2
CIU
46%
27%
26%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
ROD
5 - 1
GIM
64%
22%
14%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 16 May. 2004 |
GIM
1 - 3
QRE
35%
28%
37%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | -1 |