Manchego vs CD Toledo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.3%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.4%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.8%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
7%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
6.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
17.7%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
10.7%
1-1
13%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
44.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
13.8%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0%
-2
13.1%
0-3
3.8%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
TOM
1 - 1
MAN
39%
30%
31%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
MAN
2 - 0
COB
70%
19%
11%
|
28 | 14 | 14 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
ROD
4 - 2
MAN
41%
28%
31%
|
29 | 23 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAN
4 - 2
AZU
56%
24%
20%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | 0 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CRI
2 - 2
MAN
37%
27%
37%
|
29 | 22 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
CD Toledo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Apr. 2008 |
CDT
3 - 0
QRE
75%
18%
8%
|
36 | 20 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2008 |
UDS
0 - 1
CDT
21%
26%
53%
|
36 | 21 | 15 | 0 |
| 30 Mar. 2008 |
CDT
4 - 0
TAR
71%
18%
11%
|
35 | 22 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Mar. 2008 |
MAR
1 - 0
CDT
23%
26%
51%
|
37 | 23 | 14 | -2 |
| 16 Mar. 2008 |
CDT
1 - 1
CIU
65%
22%
13%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |