CD Manchego Provencio vs Casasimarro analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
55.6%
Win probability
2.28
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
2.6%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5%
3-0
4.6%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
6.1%
3-1
6.8%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
16.5%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
9%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.4%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.9%
24.5%
Win probability
1.48
Expected goals
0-1
3.5%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.3%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-25%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
MAN
2 - 0
RRB
40%
22%
38%
|
11 | 13 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
CAM
3 - 2
MAN
57%
20%
23%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
ABA
1 - 3
MAN
81%
12%
7%
|
11 | 17 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
MAN
4 - 1
OMA
23%
21%
56%
|
9 | 14 | 5 | +2 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CHI
2 - 1
MAN
63%
18%
19%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Casasimarro
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
CAS
2 - 3
LME
60%
19%
21%
|
13 | 12 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jan. 2017 |
RRB
6 - 1
CAS
29%
22%
50%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | -2 |
| 14 Jan. 2017 |
AEL
2 - 0
CAS
20%
21%
60%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -2 |
| 08 Jan. 2017 |
CAS
4 - 2
CAM
68%
17%
15%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
| 18 Dec. 2016 |
CAS
3 - 2
CVA
45%
22%
33%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | +1 |