CD Manchego Provencio vs Aldea del Rey analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48.2%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.2%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
11%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.7%
28.2%
Win probability
1.27
Expected goals
0-1
6.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.3%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego Provencio
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
MIG
2 - 0
MAN
66%
20%
15%
|
16 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
MAN
1 - 0
QUI
22%
22%
56%
|
15 | 21 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
4 - 2
MAN
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 24 | 9 | 0 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
MAN
5 - 0
PED
34%
25%
41%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
LAS
5 - 1
MAN
67%
19%
14%
|
14 | 19 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Aldea del Rey
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 Nov. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 3
TER
26%
24%
51%
|
16 | 24 | 8 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2009 |
HEL
2 - 0
ALD
56%
22%
22%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | -1 |
| 25 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
1 - 0
ALM
40%
24%
36%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Oct. 2009 |
VIL
0 - 2
ALD
70%
18%
12%
|
14 | 24 | 10 | +2 |
| 11 Oct. 2009 |
ALD
0 - 1
VRU
17%
22%
62%
|
15 | 36 | 21 | -1 |