Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-1
CD Manchego vs Talavera CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.7%
Win probability
2.38
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.4%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.5%
4-0
5.4%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
7.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
4.5%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
14.5%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
7.5%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.8%
17%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
8%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
17%
11.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
3.4%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.6%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
MAN
4 - 0
CDT
73%
18%
9%
|
36 | 27 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
CDB
2 - 1
MAN
61%
24%
16%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
TAL
1 - 2
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
ALC
2 - 1
MAN
63%
23%
14%
|
39 | 35 | 4 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
MAN
5 - 1
COL
57%
25%
18%
|
38 | 41 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Talavera CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28 Sep. 1980 |
TAL
1 - 1
CDB
61%
22%
18%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 1980 |
DAI
1 - 0
TAL
43%
27%
30%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 1980 |
TAL
1 - 2
MAN
59%
22%
19%
|
32 | 38 | 6 | -2 |
| 14 Sep. 1980 |
TAL
5 - 1
MEX
78%
14%
7%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | +1 |
| 07 Sep. 1980 |
CAR
1 - 0
TAL
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | -3 |