Copa del Rey 1/64
Global 1-6
CD Manchego vs RM Castilla analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
23%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.5%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
0.9%
4-3
0.1%
+1
15.8%
28.3%
Draw
0-0
11.7%
1-1
12.7%
2-2
3.4%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
28.3%
48.6%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
0-1
15.6%
1-2
8.4%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
25.6%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
14.6%
0-3
4.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
5.9%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
MAN
2 - 2
GUA
81%
13%
6%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
4 - 1
MAN
87%
9%
3%
|
38 | 70 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
PEG
4 - 2
MAN
51%
26%
23%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | -2 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
MAN
2 - 0
AVI
65%
20%
15%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
2 - 2
MAN
56%
23%
21%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
RM Castilla
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 1983 |
LIN
0 - 0
RMC
42%
29%
29%
|
70 | 64 | 6 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
4 - 1
MAN
87%
9%
3%
|
70 | 38 | 32 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
RMC
4 - 0
ELC
59%
23%
18%
|
69 | 71 | 2 | +1 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ALG
1 - 0
RMC
32%
31%
37%
|
70 | 59 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 1983 |
RMC
2 - 1
TAL
80%
13%
7%
|
69 | 52 | 17 | +1 |