Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 5-2
CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.2%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.8%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.2%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
30.2%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
17.9%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.4%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.9%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
MAN
1 - 1
CPC
26%
28%
47%
|
31 | 44 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
MAN
0 - 1
BET
26%
27%
46%
|
32 | 44 | 12 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ALM
3 - 0
MAN
81%
13%
6%
|
33 | 54 | 21 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
MAN
0 - 0
MEL
31%
32%
37%
|
31 | 47 | 16 | +2 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
MMA
0 - 0
MAN
74%
17%
8%
|
31 | 45 | 14 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 1994 |
LUG
2 - 0
ARA
51%
27%
22%
|
43 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
3 - 3
AVI
60%
24%
17%
|
43 | 44 | 1 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 1994 |
ROB
0 - 0
ARA
52%
25%
22%
|
43 | 43 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1994 |
ARA
1 - 1
AVI
60%
23%
17%
|
43 | 42 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1994 |
REA
0 - 1
ARA
61%
21%
17%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | +1 |