Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 3-2
CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.3%
Win probability
2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
2.9%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
9.9%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
17.4%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.1%
21.5%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
21.5%
21.2%
Win probability
1.14
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
13.1%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5.6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
MAN
2 - 0
RMC
63%
21%
16%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
UBC
4 - 0
MAN
34%
31%
35%
|
40 | 28 | 12 | -2 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
MAN
1 - 1
MEX
83%
12%
5%
|
41 | 24 | 17 | -1 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
SFN
2 - 2
MAN
38%
30%
33%
|
42 | 29 | 13 | -1 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
RMC
1 - 1
MAN
59%
22%
20%
|
42 | 37 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ATM
0 - 1
ARA
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 27 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1983 |
ARA
0 - 3
LEG
80%
14%
6%
|
40 | 25 | 15 | -1 |
| 22 May. 1983 |
GDE
2 - 0
ARA
57%
25%
18%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -3 |
| 15 May. 1983 |
ARA
2 - 1
LEG
80%
14%
6%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |
| 08 May. 1983 |
UBC
2 - 2
ARA
23%
28%
49%
|
43 | 27 | 16 | 0 |