CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
74.6%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.2%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.6%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.7%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
6.9%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
14.8%
Draw
0-0
2.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.8%
10.6%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.5%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
PUE
5 - 1
MAN
83%
11%
6%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
TOM
3 - 0
MAN
64%
19%
17%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
MAN
3 - 0
MER
67%
18%
15%
|
39 | 39 | 0 | +1 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
RAY
3 - 2
MAN
73%
17%
10%
|
39 | 53 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
UBC
2 - 4
MAN
47%
24%
29%
|
38 | 30 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Feb. 1963 |
ARA
2 - 1
SEG
58%
21%
21%
|
33 | 33 | 0 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 1963 |
ARA
0 - 0
EXT
44%
24%
32%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1963 |
CDB
4 - 1
ARA
82%
12%
7%
|
33 | 40 | 7 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 1963 |
ARA
4 - 0
VIL
44%
24%
32%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 06 Jan. 1963 |
ARA
3 - 0
GDE
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 33 | 5 | +2 |