CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.5%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.3%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.7%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.8%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19.6%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
4.4%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.4%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
7.3%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
14.6%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
0-1
2.9%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.6%
1-3
1.5%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
ALC
64%
18%
18%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
GUA
2 - 0
MAN
56%
21%
23%
|
36 | 30 | 6 | -2 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
MAN
4 - 2
VIL
80%
12%
8%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
DBN
4 - 2
MAN
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 32 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
MAN
1 - 2
CDB
52%
22%
26%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 1961 |
ALC
1 - 2
ARA
68%
17%
15%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
ARA
0 - 0
GUA
70%
17%
13%
|
35 | 32 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
VIL
2 - 1
ARA
42%
24%
34%
|
36 | 28 | 8 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ARA
4 - 1
DBN
65%
19%
17%
|
35 | 34 | 1 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 1961 |
CDB
1 - 0
ARA
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 44 | 9 | 0 |