CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
78.5%
Win probability
3.06
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.3%
9-1
0.1%
10-2
<0%
+8
0.5%
7-0
0.9%
8-1
0.3%
9-2
0.1%
+7
1.3%
6-0
2%
7-1
0.9%
8-2
0.2%
9-3
<0%
+6
3%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
2%
7-2
0.4%
8-3
0.1%
+5
6.4%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
3.9%
6-2
1%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
11.4%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
6.3%
5-2
1.9%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
8.2%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
3.1%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.1%
3-2
4.1%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
18.7%
12.6%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
5.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
12.6%
8.8%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
0-1
1.7%
1-2
2.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6%
0-2
0.8%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
MAN
5 - 2
MAN
76%
14%
10%
|
42 | 36 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
CDS
1 - 2
MAN
45%
24%
32%
|
41 | 27 | 14 | +1 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
MAN
4 - 0
GDE
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 32 | 9 | 0 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
CAR
1 - 0
MAN
34%
25%
42%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | -1 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
ARA
65%
18%
17%
|
41 | 39 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Apr. 1960 |
GIM
2 - 1
ARA
66%
18%
16%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1960 |
ARA
4 - 0
CDT
79%
13%
9%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1960 |
LEG
2 - 0
ARA
39%
23%
37%
|
38 | 24 | 14 | -1 |
| 27 Mar. 1960 |
ARA
4 - 0
GUA
83%
11%
6%
|
38 | 26 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Mar. 1960 |
MAN
3 - 0
ARA
65%
18%
17%
|
39 | 41 | 2 | -1 |