CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
72.8%
Win probability
2.72
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.1%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.2%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.2%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.6%
15.3%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
15.3%
11.9%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
3.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.9%
0-2
1.3%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.9%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
PUE
6 - 0
MAN
74%
15%
11%
|
38 | 39 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MAN
4 - 0
GUA
72%
15%
13%
|
37 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
VIL
5 - 0
MAN
64%
19%
18%
|
39 | 37 | 2 | -2 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
ATB
4 - 0
MAN
75%
14%
11%
|
40 | 44 | 4 | -1 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
MAN
3 - 1
GDE
73%
15%
12%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Feb. 1959 |
ARA
4 - 0
GDE
55%
21%
24%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 25 Jan. 1959 |
MME
2 - 0
ARA
71%
16%
13%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 18 Jan. 1959 |
ARA
4 - 0
CAR
50%
22%
28%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +3 |
| 11 Jan. 1959 |
GIM
2 - 2
ARA
73%
15%
12%
|
29 | 33 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 1959 |
ARA
4 - 0
MOR
78%
13%
9%
|
28 | 23 | 5 | +1 |