CD Manchego vs Real Aranjuez CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66%
Win probability
2.55
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.3%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
0.9%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.3%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.4%
4-0
4%
5-1
2.5%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
7.3%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
4.9%
5-2
1.5%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
13.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
3%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
19%
1-0
5.9%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
4.8%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
21.2%
17.4%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
7.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
17.4%
16.6%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
0-1
2.8%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
10.2%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
AVI
5 - 0
MAN
48%
23%
29%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
MAN
1 - 1
GIM
78%
13%
9%
|
38 | 27 | 11 | -1 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
PUE
2 - 2
MAN
72%
16%
13%
|
37 | 36 | 1 | +1 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
MAN
2 - 0
CDT
66%
17%
17%
|
36 | 36 | 0 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
UDG
1 - 2
MAN
48%
23%
29%
|
36 | 25 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Real Aranjuez CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Oct. 1956 |
ARA
5 - 1
GUA
73%
15%
12%
|
34 | 28 | 6 | 0 |
| 07 Oct. 1956 |
CUA
5 - 2
ARA
49%
21%
30%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | -3 |
| 30 Sep. 1956 |
ARA
0 - 1
PAR
78%
13%
9%
|
37 | 29 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 1956 |
LEG
1 - 3
ARA
70%
16%
14%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 1956 |
ARA
0 - 3
FEM
88%
8%
4%
|
37 | 18 | 19 | -1 |