Copa del Rey 1/128
Global 1-2
CD Manchego vs RCD Carabanchel analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
58.8%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.7%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.6%
Win probability
1.04
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
MAN
3 - 0
ALC
55%
27%
18%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
LPA
1 - 0
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
MAN
2 - 0
VDB
79%
13%
8%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
ALC
1 - 1
MAN
63%
24%
13%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
MAN
3 - 0
GUA
69%
21%
9%
|
40 | 32 | 8 | 0 |
Matches
RCD Carabanchel
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Sep. 1978 |
CAR
1 - 1
VDB
84%
10%
6%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 10 Sep. 1978 |
CAR
3 - 2
SDA
82%
11%
7%
|
41 | 34 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Sep. 1978 |
SAL
0 - 1
CAR
56%
26%
19%
|
40 | 37 | 3 | +1 |
| 14 May. 1978 |
CAR
3 - 1
SAL
64%
22%
14%
|
39 | 38 | 1 | +1 |
| 07 May. 1978 |
LPA
1 - 0
CAR
60%
21%
20%
|
40 | 39 | 1 | -1 |