CD Manchego vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.6%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.6%
2-0
6.2%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.5%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.7%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.2%
34.2%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5%
1-3
3.7%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
9.9%
0-3
2.4%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
GDE
3 - 5
MAN
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 38 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
3 - 0
CDT
75%
14%
11%
|
37 | 33 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
ATB
0 - 1
MAN
68%
18%
14%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
GIM
0 - 0
MAN
61%
20%
19%
|
36 | 33 | 3 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
MAN
4 - 2
ALC
75%
14%
11%
|
35 | 31 | 4 | +1 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 3
GIM
76%
15%
9%
|
52 | 35 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 1961 |
ALC
2 - 1
RAY
32%
25%
43%
|
52 | 30 | 22 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
0 - 0
CDB
74%
16%
11%
|
53 | 41 | 12 | -1 |
| 08 Oct. 1961 |
VIL
0 - 2
RAY
30%
24%
47%
|
52 | 27 | 25 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 1961 |
RAY
1 - 1
CAR
78%
13%
9%
|
53 | 29 | 24 | -1 |