CD Manchego vs Rayo Vallecano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.7%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.6%
2-0
3.6%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.7%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
14.9%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
8.4%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.6%
51.8%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
0-1
13%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.9%
0-2
10%
1-3
4.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
15.8%
0-3
5.2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
7.3%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
TOM
2 - 0
MAN
77%
13%
10%
|
36 | 44 | 8 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
MAN
1 - 0
CNC
50%
21%
29%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | +2 |
| 17 Apr. 1949 |
CFP
3 - 2
MAN
69%
16%
15%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 1949 |
MAN
4 - 0
SEG
57%
20%
23%
|
33 | 34 | 1 | +2 |
| 03 Apr. 1949 |
CDB
7 - 0
MAN
72%
15%
13%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Rayo Vallecano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 1949 |
RAY
3 - 2
UBC
87%
9%
4%
|
68 | 40 | 28 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 1949 |
ALC
1 - 2
RAY
27%
24%
50%
|
68 | 41 | 27 | 0 |