CD Manchego vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
59%
Win probability
1.63
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.5%
3-0
6.8%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
12.5%
3-1
5%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.3%
1-0
15.4%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
26.6%
24.5%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
24.5%
16.5%
Win probability
0.73
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
4.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.9%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CD Manchego
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
LEG
1 - 0
MAN
66%
23%
11%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
MAN
1 - 1
CIE
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
ACF
0 - 0
MAN
67%
22%
11%
|
37 | 39 | 2 | 0 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
MAN
2 - 1
TAL
54%
27%
19%
|
36 | 39 | 3 | +1 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
ALC
1 - 0
MAN
67%
21%
11%
|
37 | 38 | 1 | -1 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Mar. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 0
ARG
72%
19%
9%
|
36 | 34 | 2 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 1979 |
SFN
2 - 1
NUM
57%
22%
21%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 1979 |
NUM
2 - 1
CDT
62%
23%
16%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1979 |
CDS
2 - 1
NUM
38%
26%
36%
|
37 | 28 | 9 | -2 |
| 11 Feb. 1979 |
NUM
4 - 0
ZAR
56%
25%
19%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +3 |